Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 403.684376 459.266310 521.209589 595.628864 682.961556 782.622271 905.563316
2025-10-12 332.602259 408.015838 499.978002 621.519961 779.642598 980.754075 1259.720482
2025-10-19 287.104972 369.454110 475.851956 625.589140 834.443058 1120.845415 1552.943105
2025-10-26 248.487490 331.710649 444.159834 610.440249 855.695754 1213.391228 1792.435287
2025-11-02 220.604814 303.704039 420.317480 600.232573 878.832218 1307.957818 2048.332121
2025-11-09 205.661902 291.451609 416.230030 616.734352 942.251709 1471.407492 2444.835361
2025-11-16 188.271458 273.346766 400.870110 613.002082 971.723058 1582.997654 2773.610435
2025-11-23 172.620238 256.045555 384.487533 604.889071 991.639004 1679.869349 3093.943695
2025-11-30 161.478044 244.493600 375.648874 607.621345 1029.773372 1814.175495 3515.509067
2025-12-07 149.026877 229.631130 359.824851 596.195325 1040.235562 1897.381451 3848.934130
2025-12-14 139.503898 218.644195 349.257508 592.555011 1064.224016 2010.160996 4272.790949
2025-12-21 127.521829 202.570166 328.566068 568.126178 1044.478426 2029.974628 4485.126494
2025-12-28 124.112203 200.930588 333.060359 591.747502 1125.268188 2280.150991 5335.667686
2026-01-04 121.380800 200.231266 339.160184 619.261074 1218.722711 2578.065630 6407.978587
2026-01-11 115.578323 193.574079 333.708617 623.109493 1261.706416 2767.190848 7242.099647
2026-01-18 107.874550 182.881854 319.781435 608.053304 1260.230093 2847.790201 7782.748061
2026-01-25 101.486835 174.129127 308.790047 597.890423 1268.509127 2954.754246 8442.784236
2026-02-01 98.738524 171.924966 310.216154 614.316087 1342.113337 3248.557523 9829.383869
2026-02-08 93.965640 165.531696 302.832846 610.601095 1365.961393 3411.668534 10825.755370
2026-02-15 89.118829 158.660667 293.935685 602.525643 1377.667085 3542.979051 11759.173647
2026-02-22 85.723742 154.379183 289.958422 605.245279 1417.741662 3767.102650 13156.538901
2026-03-01 81.232756 147.641010 280.377169 593.872039 1418.702654 3872.070979 14108.849144
2026-03-08 77.772992 142.746441 274.306707 590.248502 1440.421542 4048.398236 15461.692464